 | | Classical Outlook: The market has mounted a slow and steady recovery since posting historic lows below parity in 2008, but is under pressure over the past several weeks with the latest consolidation underway just over 1.0500. But for the recovery structure to remain intact, the market needs to hold above the December 2008 1.0410 lows. A 2009 low was recently made by 1.0590 and we look for the latest consolidation to hold above this level ahead of a fresh upside break beyond 1.1025 which offers itself as medium-term resistance. Below 1.0590 concerns. | | Elliott Wave Outlook: Sticking with the USD bearish count, expectations over the next several weeks are for a thrust lower that ends below 1.0367. Bears are favored against 1.0939 and 1.0037 is a potential target (100% extension of 1.2303-1.0367). | |
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